The volatility and competitiveness of Vietnam coffee export on wold market

To Thi Kim Hong *

* Correspondence: To Thi Kim Hong (email: tothikimhong@gmail.com)

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Received: 17 Jul 2016
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Accepted: 30 Jul 2016
Published: 31 Aug 2016
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Tô, H. . T. K. (2016). The volatility and competitiveness of Vietnam coffee export on wold market. Van Hien University Journal of Science 4(3), 85.
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Volume 4 - Issue 3 (2016)
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Abstract

The analysis of fluctuation in price of exported agriculture products helps policy makers and producers predict future changes in the price and then suggest some solutions for risk mitigation. This study employed qualitative and quantitative methods to measure effects of some major factors on price of Vietnamese coffee. The finding showed that Vietnamese coffee price fluctuated with the trend of the world price. With observations of price fluctuation of Vietnamese coffee over 34 years, the price seemed to be in cycles of 5 years increase and 7 years decrease. The regression results showed that the Brazillian coffee price seem to have an important effect on Vietnamese exported coffee price as the latter was estimated to increase by 0.31% with an 1% increase in the former price
Keywords: Vietnamese coffee

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